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I don't think Afghanistan is winnable. It's not a country. It's a land with arbitrary borders populated by tribes who only understand power in terms of firearms. They have no sense of a national identity and no allegiance to anyone but their tribe and survival. I think it will take at least a hundred years, if not longer, to change the culture there to the point that people will feel enough loyalty to the federal government to maintain a stable civil society. And I doubt that enough people in the West have the patience for that for it to survive politically. Far too many people could care less what happens halfway around the world.