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by baldeagle
Sun Jan 23, 2011 7:27 pm
Forum: General Gun, Shooting & Equipment Discussion
Topic: Would anybody support a NCIC check for buying ammo?
Replies: 79
Views: 11741

Re: Would anybody support a NCIC check for buying ammo?

Excaliber wrote:Here's a little data to help you judge for yourself.

The following information is taken from an NRA-ILA fact sheet on the Brady Act.

The GAO studied 20 Brady jurisdictions, 15 of which--Arizona; Arkansas; Kentucky; Nevada; Ohio; SouthCarolina; Clayton and Fulton Counties (Georgia); Bossier and Caddo Parishes (Louisiana); and Abilene, Fort Worth, Harris County (Houston area), Houston, and Pasadena (Texas)--had records identifying general reasons for purchase denials. GAO reviewed 384,301 retail handgun purchase applications occurring between Feb. 28, 1994 andFeb. 28, 1995, and found that 95.2% of applicants were approved immediately. Of the 4.8% disapproved, nearly half involved administrative errors (applications prepared or mailed incorrectly, etc.) or erroneous denials for traffic tickets. Persons denied for violent and nonviolent crime-related reasons accounted for 2.4% of applicants; denials due to administrative errors, 2%; and denials due to traffic tickets, 0.4%. Only four jurisdictions--Ohio; South Carolina; and Harris (Houston) and Tarrant (Fort Worth) Counties, Texas--had records identifying denials for violent crime reasons, and 0.2% of handgun purchase applications were so denied. (See additional discussion of the GAO study on previous pages).


Do the math here - 2.4% of 384,301 applicants denied for criminal records is 9,223 people. Remember, this is not the national figure. This number comes from only one study of only 20 jurisdictions over a period of one year. Obviously the national figure would be much higher.

Keeping this in mind, look at the national number of convictions for submitting false gun purchase forms over a three year period.

On Dec. 24, 1997, the Dept. of Justice, citing statistics from the Executive Office of United States Attorneys, stated that during Fiscal Years 1994-1997 only 599 individuals were convicted of providing false information on either federal forms 4473 (used to document retail firearms purchases) or Brady handgun purchase application forms. During this period, a minimum of 75 of those convicted provided false information on Brady forms. (Letter from Acting Assistant Attorney General John C. Keeney to Sen. Richard J. Durbin, D-Ill.)
Putting on my pedant hat....it's worse than that. The convictions (599 were for a three year period, so the average is roughly 200 per year. The numbers for denials were for one year, so the number of convictions resulting from falsified applications represents a 2.1% conviction rate for only the numbers you provided, and certainly a much lower conviction rate for the national numbers. IOW, there is almost no risk in falsifying an application.

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