Hard to say... and I hate to equivocate.. but.. with 48 states on one side and 2 on the other, the illegal trafficking folks will still be highly incented to continue their business. I'm not really sure what to expect in CO and WA... Will Holder let this experiment alone to see what happens? I'm expecting a reduction in petty possession charges, but what will legalization do to manufacturing and distribution in this small experiment? That's where half the rubber meets the road... The other half is in bringing out drug abusers for treatment and decriminalizing only MJ isn't going to do that. So, success here would be measured longer term, by a decline in those abusing other still-illegal drugs like cocaine and opiates... Specifically, by a decline in the rate users choose legal MJ and choose not to move to other still-illegal things. If you remove the narco trafficker from MJ sales, does that keep MJ from being a "gateway drug" and to what extent?chasfm11 wrote:I agree that the war on drugs has been lost for a long time. CO and WA will be good test cases for whether the removal of legal threat does anything to help with the destruction cycle. I'm very doubtful.RoyGBiv wrote: If the threat of jail goes away, and we reallocate a portion of those enforcement expenditures towards more proactive intervention, treatment and remediation, we have a better chance of breaking that cycle of destruction.
From a personal liberty perspective it's a no brainer, but from a fiscal and societal costs perspective I'll be interested to see how the facts and arguments shape up on both sides...