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Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 11:49 pm
by ajwakeboarder
Beiruty wrote:MI and what about Alaska?
Alaska won't matter if he gets MI or PA.

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 11:53 pm
by twjones
AK matters if we have to play defense.

I'm hearing they are getting ready to call PA (per the live stream I'm listening to).

Standing by...

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 11:54 pm
by Syntyr
Skiprr wrote:
TexasJohnBoy wrote:
Beiruty wrote:If Trump carries PA that is 20 votes and the night is over.
Seems like more than one talking head is saying there's automatic recounts that are going to get triggered and we wont get a concession speech tonight.
Don't know about automatic recount triggers, but I'll lay long odds that I won't see a concession speech before I go to sleep tonight. But that's okay. I started out the day thinking it would be 60/40 odds in Clinton's favor. So I'll take an initial electoral college win. And if he wins both PA and MI and goes to 290 electoral votes, I'll sleep even better.
Automatic recount if the margin is less than .5 pct. Right now Trump is up 1.1 pct with 96 pct reporting.

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 11:54 pm
by Vol Texan
Image

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 11:55 pm
by twjones
Taking AK and AZ means at worst case a tie.

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 11:57 pm
by TexasJohnBoy
WI and MI will do it according to NYT, Fox News, Washington Times, and Huffington Post.

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 11:59 pm
by bnc
carlson1 wrote:
Skiprr wrote:I'm getting a little ticked off with the almost constant discussion of "white, blue-collar, less-educated" voters being all that Trump has drawn from. Look at the numbers, fools. It isn't about a single demographic; it's about millions of people being simply fed up with the way the country has been run.
They do their best to bring race into everything they report. One man on CNN said Trumps rally's looked like something from the 50's and 60's. :banghead:
Maybe he meant that the people at Trump rallies are well dressed and respectful. Yeah, that mush have been it. :lol:

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Tue Nov 08, 2016 11:59 pm
by TexasJohnBoy
This guy on CNN wont let go of the Ruskie conspiracy theory.

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2016 12:00 am
by twjones
PA 97% in

Trump leads by 48K.

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2016 12:01 am
by Skiprr
And, man; I'm still on Central Standard Time. It's almost 1:15 a.m.

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2016 12:03 am
by twjones
So does the 1 vote in Maine usually go R?

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2016 12:07 am
by Beiruty
Trump will win in 300+ votes. That is decisive. Many of Anti Trump GOPers would retire.

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2016 12:07 am
by TexasJohnBoy
I'm going to tear some hair out if this isn't called tonight.

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2016 12:07 am
by Pawpaw
I'm tired of playing this game, so I'm headed for the sheets.

My prediction is that Trump takes PA (20), MI (16), and AZ (11). Added to his current 254, that will put him to 301.

Good night, folks. :tiphat:

Re: Poll Watch 2016

Posted: Wed Nov 09, 2016 12:08 am
by Skiprr
So now the Fox numbers guys are saying there are several states they may not be able to call at all tonight. I'll give it 15 more minutes...maybe 20.